If your key is expired, you must update the expiration, export the new key, delete the expired key in your GitHub account, and upload the new key to GitHub. Your previous commits and tags will show as verified, as long as the key meets all other verification requirements.
If your key is invalid and you don't use another valid key in your key set, but instead generate a new GPG key with a new set of credentials, then your commits made with the revoked or expired key will continue to show as unverified. Also, your new credentials will not be able to resign or verify your old commits and tags.
